23 Aug · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1646
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1693
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (108)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H101-77
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.