23 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1593
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ruzicka
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1524
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Vavricka stays under total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)