23 Aug · 09:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1738
FormWWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Moravec
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1521
FormWLLWW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 44% · 2.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+217
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)