23 Aug · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1419
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1502
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Janik🌟Skvor goes over total as favourite 65% (37)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)