23 Aug · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1521
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1575
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (34)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.