28 Aug · 15:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1521
3-1Final setsLysek won
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1495
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Baros at 50%. The actual result was Tomas Lysek 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Baros favoured — closing 1.69
Total 75.5
76 points played
Set handicap
Baros −1.5 sets
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Lysek is favoured to win, below means Karel Baros.
▲ Tomas Lysekpre 54% → final 89%
Karel Baros ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsLysek recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games