28 Aug · 17:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1514
1-3Final setsGuzy won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1622
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 59%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 1-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Guzy favoured — closing 1.57
Set handicap
Guzy −1.5 sets
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kos is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Pawel Kospre 37% → final 19%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games