29 Aug · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1589
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kucera
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1502
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)