29 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1504
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vodal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1462
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (89)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H36-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.