29 Aug · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1376
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1474
FormWLLL
42%
58%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (37)
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)