29 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1422
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chmelicek
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1314
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (35)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)