29 Aug · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1559
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1539
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (77)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H24-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.