29 Aug · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1587
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vosyka
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)