29 Aug · 16:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1548
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Krupnik
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1545
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moravec🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (74)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.