29 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1556
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pokorny
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H10-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.