29 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1376
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pesout
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1314
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Jaros stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)