29 Aug · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1390
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1494
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jonas🌟Jonas covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)