29 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1470
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mandrysz
BJ
🇨🇿Bartolomej Jonas
ELO 1390
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jonas🌟Jonas covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)