29 Aug · 23:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1541
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Prochazka
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1687
FormLWLLW
38%
62%
🌟Prochazka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (77)
Fair odds · Prochazka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+146
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)