29 Aug · 22:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1687
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1822
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 79% (43)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)