29 Aug · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1649
FormLLWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kowalewski
GR
🇨🇿Gracjan Rokita
ELO 1385
FormLWLLW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
25%
3-2
14%
1-3
10%
2-3
10%
Elo Gap+264
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)