29 Aug · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1598
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1653
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H16-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-14)