30 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1606
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1622
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Skalicky covers set handicap as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.