30 Aug · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1738
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Moravec
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1629
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Skvrna covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)