30 Aug · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1535
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Precek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1492
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (75)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H17-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.