30 Aug · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1617
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1662
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Kocab covers set handicap as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H16-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.