30 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1535
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1571
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (36)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.