30 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1470
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Melichar
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1580
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
🌟Melichar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (30)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)