30 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1489
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stefek
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1431
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vaclahovsky
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)