30 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1662
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cerny
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H9-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)