30 Aug · 10:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1835
FormWWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~71 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
25%
2-3
14%
3-1
10%
3-2
10%
Elo Gap+260
H2H62-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+260)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-47)