30 Aug · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1628
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Patryk
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1530
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)