30 Aug · 16:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1433
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chmelicek
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1315
FormWLLLW
60%
40%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (38)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)