30 Aug · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1383
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1463
FormLWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Theodor🌟Jokiel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (38)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)