30 Aug · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1502
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skvor
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1463
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Jokiel covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.