30 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jancak
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1434
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 65% (71)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)