30 Aug · 15:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 76% (66)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H9-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.