30 Aug · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1315
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pesout
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1368
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Jaros stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H12-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.