30 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 65% (71)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.