30 Aug · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1489
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Buklat
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1544
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H26-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.