30 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1361
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hruby
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1315
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Jaros stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Hruby
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.