30 Aug · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1543
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pokorny
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1524
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.