30 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1543
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pokorny
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vidourek🌟Vidourek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.