30 Aug · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1461
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Reska
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1413
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Reska stays under total as favourite 62% (69)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H18-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.