30 Aug · 22:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1497
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zeman
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1413
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanous🌟Zeman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (49)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)