30 Aug · 17:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1760
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Vorisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1642
FormWLWLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (115)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H184-154
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (184-154)