30 Aug · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Soucek
ELO 1519
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Strejc
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1566
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Strejc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (42)
Fair odds · Strejc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H22-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.