30 Aug · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kulisek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1478
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H106-117
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.