30 Aug · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1625
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H13-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)