30 Aug · 21:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1625
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Rek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1478
FormLLWWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H34-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-23)